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  2. Keyword: Erythrocytes
New Incremental Model for Predicting Mortality in Pre-Capillary Pulmonary Hypertension
ABC
Original Article

New Incremental Model for Predicting Mortality in Pre-Capillary Pulmonary Hypertension

Andressa Alves de Carvalho et al. Wanessa Alves de Carvalho Eliauria Rosa Martins Agostinho Hermes de Medeiros Neto … Fernando Bacal Marcelo Dantas Tavares de Melo

Abstract

Background:

In pulmonary hypertension (PH), the identification of easily obtainable prognostic markers associated with right ventricular (RV) dysfunction and survival is needed.

Objective:

To evaluate the association of red cell distribution width (RDW) with clinical, echocardiographic parameters and survival in patients with pre-capillary PH, with the development of a mortality prediction model.

Methods:

Observational, longitudinal, and prospective study conducted from May 2019 to December 2022. Thirty-four patients with pre-capillary PH underwent two-dimensional echocardiography and complete blood count. A cutoff point of 14.5% was considered to define RDW as altered (≥14.5%) or normal (<14.5%). P values <0.05 were considered significant.

Results:

The median RDW was 14.4%. There was a significant difference in peripheral arterial oxygen saturation (SpO2) (p=0.028), RV strain (p=0.047), and pericardial effusion (p=0.002) between the normal and elevated RDW groups. During a median follow-up of 15 months, 20.6% died. Patients with increased RDW had a shorter overall survival (44.7%, log-rank p=0.019), which was a predictor of mortality in univariate Cox regression (HR 8.55, p=0.048). The addition of RV strain <16% and SpO2 ≤93% to the model including RDW alone showed incremental value in predicting mortality (χ2=8.2, p=0.049; χ2=12.4, p=0.041), with increased area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (0.729 vs. 0.837 vs. 0.909) and decreased probability of survival (44.7% vs. 35.6% vs. 25%, log-rank p=0.019).

Conclusions:

RDW provides information on the severity of pre-capillary PH by correlating with echocardiographic parameters of RV dysfunction and mortality, which is best predicted by a model including RDW, RV strain and SpO2.

  • Erythrocytes
  • Global Longitudinal Strain
  • Pulmonary Hypertension
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Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) Creative Commons license
12/08/2024 DOI: 10.36660/abc.20240026i
Aortic Arch Calcification Observed on Chest X-Ray May Serve as an Independent Predictor for Recurrent Stroke
ABC
Artigo Original

Aortic Arch Calcification Observed on Chest X-Ray May Serve as an Independent Predictor for Recurrent Stroke

Fahri Çakan et al. Asli Sert Sunal Adem Adar Orhan Onalan

Abstract

Background

Despite advances in diagnostic and treatment modalities, there is a need for predictive markers for recurrent strokes.

Objectives

This study aimed to investigate the relationship between aortic arch calcification (AAC) and stroke recurrence in stroke patients during a one-year follow-up.

Methods

All stroke patients who experienced their first event were evaluated for participation in the study. Patients who experienced recurrent strokes during the one-year follow-up were recorded. AAC was assessed by chest radiography. Based on the occurrence of recurrent strokes the patients were divided into two groups. AAC was classified into four categories according to its degree, and the presence of AAC was included in the statistical analysis. The relationship between AAC and recurrent stroke was assessed using a receiver operating characteristic curve. A significance level of <0.05 was deemed acceptable for all statistical analyses.

Results

A total of 203 patients were included in the study (46.8% female, mean age 69±12.3). Recurrent stroke was detected in 49 patients. AAC, hypertension, and atrial fibrillation were more frequent in patients with recurrent stroke. Patients with recurrent stroke had a lower glomerular filtration rate and a higher red cell distribution width (RDW). In multivariate regression analysis, AAC (hazard ratio [HR], 3.544; 95% CI:1.653-7.598, p=0.001) and RDW (HR,1.214; 95% CI:1.053-1.400, p=0.008) were identified as independent predictors of recurrent stroke.

Conclusion

The presence of AAC (≥ grade 1) and RDW were found to be significantly associated with the development of recurrent stroke within one year. These findings may have prognostic significance in the follow-up of stroke patients.

  • Erythrocytes
  • Stroke
  • Thoracic aorta
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Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) Creative Commons license
29/07/2024 DOI: 10.36660/abc.20230805i Views 2

How to cite this article

EndNote RIS

Electronic Document Format (Vancouver)

Carvalho AA, Carvalho WA, Martins ER, Medeiros Neto AH, Bacal F, Melo MDT. New Incremental Model for Predicting Mortality in Pre-Capillary Pulmonary Hypertension. Arquivos Brasileiros de Cardiologia 2024;121(7):e20230669.

Electronic Document Format (ABNT)

Carvalho, Andressa Alves de; Carvalho, Wanessa Alves de; Martins, Eliauria Rosa; Medeiros Neto, Agostinho Hermes de; Bacal, Fernando; Melo, Marcelo Dantas Tavares de. New Incremental Model for Predicting Mortality in Pre-Capillary Pulmonary Hypertension. Arquivos Brasileiros de Cardiologia, v. 121, n. 7, e20230669, Aug. 2024.

Electronic Document Format (APA)

Carvalho, A. A. , Carvalho, W. A. , Martins, E. R., Medeiros Neto, A. H. , Bacal, F., & Melo, M. D. T. (2024). New Incremental Model for Predicting Mortality in Pre-Capillary Pulmonary Hypertension. Arquivos Brasileiros de Cardiologia, 121(7), e20230669.

Electronic Document Format (ISO)

Carvalho, Andressa Alves de and Carvalho, Wanessa Alves de and Martins, Eliauria Rosa and Medeiros Neto, Agostinho Hermes de and Bacal, Fernando and Melo, Marcelo Dantas Tavares de. New Incremental Model for Predicting Mortality in Pre-Capillary Pulmonary Hypertension. Arquivos Brasileiros de Cardiologia [online]. 2024, vol. 121, n. 7, [cited 2026-10-14], e20230669. Available from: <https://journals.cardiol.br/en/article/new-incremental-model-for-predicting-mortality-in-pre-capillary-pulmonary-hypertension/>. ISSN 0066-782X

EndNote RIS

Electronic Document Format (Vancouver)

Çakan F, Sunal AS, Adar A, Onalan O. Aortic Arch Calcification Observed on Chest X-Ray May Serve as an Independent Predictor for Recurrent Stroke. Arquivos Brasileiros de Cardiologia 2024;121(7):e20230805.

Electronic Document Format (ABNT)

Çakan, Fahri; Sunal, Asli Sert; Adar, Adem; Onalan, Orhan. Aortic Arch Calcification Observed on Chest X-Ray May Serve as an Independent Predictor for Recurrent Stroke. Arquivos Brasileiros de Cardiologia, v. 121, n. 7, e20230805, Jul. 2024.

Electronic Document Format (APA)

Çakan, F., Sunal, A. S., Adar, A., & Onalan, O. (2024). Aortic Arch Calcification Observed on Chest X-Ray May Serve as an Independent Predictor for Recurrent Stroke. Arquivos Brasileiros de Cardiologia, 121(7), e20230805.

Electronic Document Format (ISO)

Çakan, Fahri and Sunal, Asli Sert and Adar, Adem and Onalan, Orhan. Aortic Arch Calcification Observed on Chest X-Ray May Serve as an Independent Predictor for Recurrent Stroke. Arquivos Brasileiros de Cardiologia [online]. 2024, vol. 121, n. 7, [cited 2026-10-14], e20230805. Available from: <https://journals.cardiol.br/en/article/aortic-arch-calcification-observed-on-chest-x-ray-may-serve-as-an-independent-predictor-for-recurrent-stroke/>. ISSN 0066-782X

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