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  <front>
    <journal-meta>
      <journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">abc</journal-id>
      <journal-title-group>
        <journal-title>Arquivos Brasileiros de Cardiologia</journal-title>
        <abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">Arq. Bras. Cardiol.</abbrev-journal-title>
      </journal-title-group>
      <issn pub-type="ppub">0066-782X</issn>
      <issn pub-type="epub">1678-4170</issn>
      <publisher>
        <publisher-name>Sociedade Brasileira de Cardiologia - SBC</publisher-name>
        <publisher-loc>S&#227;o Paulo, SP, Brazil</publisher-loc>
      </publisher>
    </journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id" specific-use="scielo-v3">DyQ3xNnHTCH4B5kK4mQ64hD</article-id>
      <article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id" specific-use="scielo-v2">S0066-782X2012001500011</article-id>
      <article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id" specific-use="scielo-v1">S0066-782X(12)09900600011</article-id>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.1590/S0066-782X2012005000113</article-id>
      <article-categories>
        <subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
          <subject>Artigo Original</subject>
        </subj-group>
      </article-categories>
      <title-group>
        <article-title>Tomografia de coron&#225;rias na predi&#231;&#227;o de eventos adversos em pacientes com suspeita de coronariopatia</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name>
            <surname>Barros</surname>
            <given-names>M&#225;rcio Vinicius Lins</given-names>
          </name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff01"/>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff02"/>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name>
            <surname>Rabelo</surname>
            <given-names>Daniel Rocha</given-names>
          </name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff01"/>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name>
            <surname>Nunes</surname>
            <given-names>Maria do Carmo Pereira</given-names>
          </name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff01"/>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff03"/>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name>
            <surname>Siqueira</surname>
            <given-names>Maria Helena Albernaz</given-names>
          </name>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff01"/>
        </contrib>
      </contrib-group>
      <aff id="aff01">
        <addr-line>
          <named-content content-type="state">MG</named-content>
        </addr-line>
        <institution content-type="orgname">Hospital Mater Dei</institution>
        <country country="BR">Brasil</country>
      </aff>
      <aff id="aff03">
        <addr-line>
          <named-content content-type="state">MG</named-content>
        </addr-line>
        <institution content-type="orgname">Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais</institution>
        <institution content-type="orgdiv1">Faculdade de Medicina </institution>
        <country country="BR">Brasil</country>
      </aff>
      <aff id="aff02">
        <addr-line>
          <named-content content-type="state">MG</named-content>
        </addr-line>
        <institution content-type="orgname">Faculdade de Sa&#250;de e Ecologia Humana</institution>
        <country country="BR">Brasil</country>
      </aff>
      <pub-date date-type="collection" publication-format="electronic">
        <month>12</month>
        <year>2012</year>
      </pub-date>
      <volume>99</volume>
      <issue>6</issue>
      <fpage>1142</fpage>
      <lpage>1148</lpage>
      <history>
        <date date-type="received">
          <day>04</day>
          <month>12</month>
          <year>2011</year>
        </date>
        <date date-type="accepted">
          <day>06</day>
          <month>06</month>
          <year>2012</year>
        </date>
        <date date-type="rev-recd">
          <day>06</day>
          <month>12</month>
          <year>2011</year>
        </date>
      </history>
      <permissions>
        <license license-type="open-access" xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/" xml:lang="en">
          <license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.</license-p>
        </license>
      </permissions>
      <abstract>
        <p>FUNDAMENTO: Embora os estudos tenham demonstrado uma alta precis&#227;o diagn&#243;stica da Tomografia Coronariana Multidetectores (TCMD) na detec&#231;&#227;o de Doen&#231;a Arterial Coronariana (DAC), os dados sobre o valor progn&#243;stico desse m&#233;todo s&#227;o limitados. OBJETIVO: Determinar o valor da TCMD na predi&#231;&#227;o de desfechos cl&#237;nicos adversos em pacientes com suspeita de DAC. M&#201;TODOS: Foram avaliados prospectivamente 355 pacientes consecutivos (idade m&#233;dia de 58 &#177; 12 anos; 252 do sexo masculino), com suspeita de DAC, entre janeiro de 2008 e junho de 2010. DAC pela TCMD foi definida como a presen&#231;a de placa de ateroma observada em qualquer art&#233;ria coronariana. Os desfechos cl&#237;nicos adversos foram definidos como morte, infarto do mioc&#225;rdio, angina inst&#225;vel ou revasculariza&#231;&#227;o mioc&#225;rdica. RESULTADOS: Durante um acompanhamento m&#233;dio de 15 meses, houve 55 eventos card&#237;acos. Na an&#225;lise multivariada utilizando-se o modelo de regress&#227;o de Cox, classe funcional da NYHA, diabetes, tabagismo e aterosclerose &#224; TCMD foram preditores de desfecho cl&#237;nico adverso, e a presen&#231;a de placa &#224; TCMD apresentou forte associa&#231;&#227;o com desfechos cl&#237;nicos adversos, independentemente de fatores de risco estabelecidos para DAC (hazard ratio 5,29; intervalo de confian&#231;a de 95%, 2,4 - 11,8; p &lt; 0,001). CONCLUS&#195;O: A presen&#231;a de aterosclerose demonstrada pela TCMD em pacientes com suspeita de DAC apresentou valor independente e incremental aos fatores de risco convencionais na predi&#231;&#227;o de desfechos cl&#237;nicos adversos, podendo se mostrar &#250;til na estratifica&#231;&#227;o de risco desses pacientes.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group xml:lang="pt" kwd-group-type="author-generated">
        <kwd>Doen&#231;a das Coron&#225;rias</kwd>
        <kwd>Tomografia Computadorizada</kwd>
        <kwd>Progn&#243;stico</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
      <pub-date publication-format="electronic" date-type="pub">
        <day>30</day>
        <month>11</month>
        <year>2012</year>
      </pub-date>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
  <body>
    <p>
      <bold>Tomografia de coron&#225;rias na predi&#231;&#227;o de eventos adversos em pacientes com suspeita de coronariopatia</bold>
    </p>
    <p>
      <bold>M&#225;rcio Vinicius Lins Barros<sup>I, II</sup>; Daniel Rocha Rabelo<sup>I</sup>; Maria do Carmo Pereira Nunes<sup>I, III</sup>; Maria Helena Albernaz Siqueira<sup>I</sup></bold>
    </p>
    <p><sup>I</sup>Hospital Mater Dei, MG - Brasil </p>
    <p><sup>II</sup>Faculdade de Sa&#250;de e Ecologia Humana (FASEH), Vespasiano, MG - Brasil </p>
    <p><sup>III</sup>Faculdade de Medicina , Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, MG - Brasil</p>
    <p>
      <xref ref-type="corresp" rid="end">Correspond&#234;ncia</xref>
    </p>
    <p>
      <bold>RESUMO</bold>
    </p>
    <p><bold>FUNDAMENTO:</bold> Embora os estudos tenham demonstrado uma alta precis&#227;o diagn&#243;stica da Tomografia Coronariana Multidetectores (TCMD) na detec&#231;&#227;o de Doen&#231;a Arterial Coronariana (DAC), os dados sobre o valor progn&#243;stico desse m&#233;todo s&#227;o limitados. </p>
    <p><bold>OBJETIVO:</bold> Determinar o valor da TCMD na predi&#231;&#227;o de desfechos cl&#237;nicos adversos em pacientes com suspeita de DAC. </p>
    <p><bold>M&#201;TODOS: </bold>Foram avaliados prospectivamente 355 pacientes consecutivos (idade m&#233;dia de 58 &#177; 12 anos; 252 do sexo masculino), com suspeita de DAC, entre janeiro de 2008 e junho de 2010. DAC pela TCMD foi definida como a presen&#231;a de placa de ateroma observada em qualquer art&#233;ria coronariana. Os desfechos cl&#237;nicos adversos foram definidos como morte, infarto do mioc&#225;rdio, angina inst&#225;vel ou revasculariza&#231;&#227;o mioc&#225;rdica. </p>
    <p><bold>RESULTADOS:</bold> Durante um acompanhamento m&#233;dio de 15 meses, houve 55 eventos card&#237;acos. Na an&#225;lise multivariada utilizando-se o modelo de regress&#227;o de Cox, classe funcional da NYHA, diabetes, tabagismo e aterosclerose &#224; TCMD foram preditores de desfecho cl&#237;nico adverso, e a presen&#231;a de placa &#224; TCMD apresentou forte associa&#231;&#227;o com desfechos cl&#237;nicos adversos, independentemente de fatores de risco estabelecidos para DAC (hazard ratio 5,29; intervalo de confian&#231;a de 95%, 2,4 - 11,8; p &lt; 0,001). </p>
    <p><bold>CONCLUS&#195;O:</bold> A presen&#231;a de aterosclerose demonstrada pela TCMD em pacientes com suspeita de DAC apresentou valor independente e incremental aos fatores de risco convencionais na predi&#231;&#227;o de desfechos cl&#237;nicos adversos, podendo se mostrar &#250;til na estratifica&#231;&#227;o de risco desses pacientes. (Arq Bras Cardiol. 2012; [online].ahead print, PP.0-0)</p>
    <p><bold>Palavras-chave:</bold> Doen&#231;a das Coron&#225;rias; Tomografia Computadorizada; Progn&#243;stico.</p>
    <p>
      <bold>Introdu&#231;&#227;o</bold>
    </p>
    <p>A Doen&#231;a Arterial Coronariana (DAC) representa importante causa de mortalidade e morbidade no mundo, com importante impacto socioecon&#244;mico<sup>1</sup>. A Tomografia Coronariana Multidetectores (TCMD) representa m&#233;todo importante na avalia&#231;&#227;o das art&#233;rias coronarianas com elevada acur&#225;cia no diagn&#243;stico da doen&#231;a arterial coronariana<sup>2-5</sup>. Entretanto, embora estudos anteriores tenham demonstrado seu papel na predi&#231;&#227;o de eventos adversos<sup>6-12</sup>, sua valida&#231;&#227;o ainda n&#227;o foi totalmente determinada. O objetivo deste estudo foi avaliar o valor da TCMD na predi&#231;&#227;o de desfechos cl&#237;nicos adversos em pacientes com suspeita de DAC.</p>
    <p>
      <bold>M&#233;todos</bold>
    </p>
    <p>De janeiro de 2008 a dezembro de 2010, foram alocados em uma coorte com coleta prospectiva de dados, pacientes consecutivos com suspeita de DAC submetidos a TCMD. Os pacientes foram encaminhados por uma variedade de indica&#231;&#245;es, incluindo a avalia&#231;&#227;o de sintomas, sinais de doen&#231;a card&#237;aca (ECG de repouso anormal ou teste de estresse positivo), ou pacientes assintom&#225;ticos com presen&#231;a de dois ou mais fatores de risco para DAC. Os crit&#233;rios de exclus&#227;o foram: DAC conhecida, s&#237;ndrome coronariana aguda, arritmia card&#237;aca, alergia a contraste iodado e insufici&#234;ncia renal. Consentimento informado foi obtido de todos os pacientes. Na admiss&#227;o, uma coleta de dados padronizados sobre a presen&#231;a de fatores de risco card&#237;acos foi preenchida por cada indiv&#237;duo. Hipertens&#227;o arterial sist&#234;mica foi definida como uma hist&#243;ria documentada de press&#227;o arterial elevada ou tratamento com medicamentos anti-hipertensivos. A presen&#231;a de diabete melito foi definida por diagn&#243;stico anterior de diabetes e/ou uso de insulina ou hipoglicemiantes orais. Dislipidemia foi determinada como hist&#243;ria pr&#233;via de dislipidemia ou tratamento atual com medicamentos hipolipemiantes. Considerou-se como tabagismo o h&#225;bito atual de fumar ou cessa&#231;&#227;o de fumar dentro de tr&#234;s meses do exame. Para a defini&#231;&#227;o da classe funcional, foi utilizada a classifica&#231;&#227;o baseada na New York Heart Association (NYHA). Hist&#243;ria familiar de doen&#231;a coronariana foi definida como a presen&#231;a de DAC em parentes de primeiro grau com idade inferior a 55 (masculino) ou 65 (feminino) anos de idade.</p>
    <p>Foi utilizado tom&#243;grafo de 64 canais (Aquilion, <italic>Toshiba</italic> Medical Company, Japan), e as imagens de todo o cora&#231;&#227;o foram adquiridas em apneia de 6 a 8 s, com infus&#227;o venosa de 85 a 90 mL de contraste iodado (Iopamiron 350) em bomba de infus&#227;o a vaz&#227;o de 5 mL/s. ROI de detec&#231;&#227;o autom&#225;tica do contraste foi posicionado em aorta descendente (150 HU), iniciando a aquisi&#231;&#227;o de imagens. Pacientes com FC maior que 70 bpm e sem contraindica&#231;&#245;es receberam 15 mg de metoprolol intravenoso. As imagens foram reconstru&#237;das com cortes de espessura de 0,3 mm a intervalos de 0,4 mm, com <italic>gating</italic> retrospectivo. Todos os dados foram analisados por m&#233;dicos experientes no m&#233;todo, usando reformata&#231;&#227;o multiplanar e reconstru&#231;&#227;o 3-D pela t&#233;cnica de "volume rendering"</p>
    <p>As coron&#225;rias foram divididas em 17 segmentos<sup>13</sup>. Os segmentos foram avaliados quanto &#224; presen&#231;a de qualquer placa ateroscler&#243;tica, definidas como estruturas com <underline>&gt;</underline> 1 mm<sup>2</sup> dentro e/ou adjacentes &#224; luz da art&#233;ria coronariana. Depois disso, foi determinado se a les&#227;o era obstrutiva ou n&#227;o, utilizando um limiar de 50% para estreitamento luminal. A porcentagem de obstru&#231;&#227;o do l&#250;men da art&#233;ria coronariana foi baseada em uma compara&#231;&#227;o do di&#226;metro luminal da obstru&#231;&#227;o, comparativamente ao di&#226;metro luminal imediatamente proximal &#224; placa. Pacientes sem c&#225;lcio na art&#233;ria coronariana ou placas coronarianas &#224; TCMD foram considerados normais, sendo uma TCMD anormal definida como a presen&#231;a de qualquer placa coronariana.</p>
    <p>Os desfechos cl&#237;nicos adversos dos pacientes foram obtidos por meio de entrevista telef&#244;nica, sendo classificados como a ocorr&#234;ncia de: 1) morte de origem card&#237;aca; 2) infarto do mioc&#225;rdio; 3) angina inst&#225;vel associada &#224; hospitaliza&#231;&#227;o; ou 4) revasculariza&#231;&#227;o.</p>
    <p>
      <bold>An&#225;lise estat&#237;stica</bold>
    </p>
    <p>As caracter&#237;sticas demogr&#225;ficas e cl&#237;nicas da popula&#231;&#227;o estudada foram expressas como n&#250;meros e porcentagens para as vari&#225;veis categ&#243;ricas e como m&#233;dia e desvio padr&#227;o para as vari&#225;veis cont&#237;nuas, comparadas com teste do qui-quadrado para vari&#225;veis categ&#243;ricas e pelo teste <italic>t</italic> de Student para vari&#225;veis cont&#237;nuas. Para satisfazer o pressuposto da independ&#234;ncia dos acontecimentos, a recorr&#234;ncia de eventos card&#237;acos em um participante n&#227;o foi inclu&#237;da na an&#225;lise.</p>
    <p>O modelo de regress&#227;o de Cox foi empregado para se avaliar o valor das vari&#225;veis cl&#237;nicas e da presen&#231;a de placas &#224; TCMD na predi&#231;&#227;o de eventos card&#237;acos. Inicialmente, a an&#225;lise univariada das caracter&#237;sticas cl&#237;nicas e vari&#225;veis pela TCMD foi realizada para identificar preditores em potencial. <italic>Hazard ratio</italic> foi calculado com intervalo de confian&#231;a de 95% como uma estimativa do risco associado a uma vari&#225;vel particular. Posteriormente, a an&#225;lise multivariada foi realizada, incluindo todas as vari&#225;veis selecionadas na an&#225;lise univariada. O valor incremental de cada vari&#225;vel no modelo foi testado usando a raz&#227;o de verossimilhan&#231;a, obtendo-se o qui-quadrado e comparando-se ao modelo anterior. As an&#225;lises estat&#237;sticas foram realizadas utilizando o software SPSS (vers&#227;o 18.0, SPSS Inc., Chicago, Illinois) e p &lt; 0,05 foi considerado estatisticamente significativo.</p>
    <p>
      <bold>Resultados</bold>
    </p>
    <p>Durante o per&#237;odo do estudo, foram selecionados inicialmente 405 pacientes; 21 foram exclu&#237;dos por indica&#231;&#227;o de avalia&#231;&#227;o p&#243;s-cirurgia de revasculariza&#231;&#227;o mioc&#225;rdica e 29, para avalia&#231;&#227;o p&#243;s-angioplastia. No total, 355 pacientes consecutivos foram inclu&#237;dos no estudo, sendo 71,8% homens, com idade m&#233;dia de 58,4 &#177; 12,4 anos. As caracter&#237;sticas gerais dos pacientes est&#227;o resumidas na <xref ref-type="table" rid="aop912tab1">tabela 1</xref>. As indica&#231;&#245;es para os exames de TCMD foram as seguintes: avalia&#231;&#227;o de dor tor&#225;cica em 131 pacientes (32,4%); resultado positivo do teste de estresse (133 pacientes [33%]); pacientes assintom&#225;ticos com dois ou mais fatores de risco (110 pacientes [27,2%]); e outras causas em 30 pacientes (7,4%).</p>
    <p content-type="asset">
      <table-wrap id="aop912tab1">
        <graphic xlink:href="1678-4170-abc-99-06-1142-00113-gt01.jpg"/></table-wrap>
    </p>
    <p>Presen&#231;a de placas coronarianas <xref ref-type="fig" rid="aop912fig1">fig. 1a</xref>) foram encontradas em 55,8% dos pacientes, sendo 28,5% na art&#233;ria coron&#225;ria direita, 23,7% na art&#233;ria circunflexa, e 40,6% na art&#233;ria descendente anterior. Art&#233;rias coronarianas com les&#245;es superiores a 50% (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="aop912fig1">fig. 1b</xref>) foram encontrados em 7,7% em art&#233;ria coron&#225;ria direita, 5,4% em art&#233;ria circunflexa, e 9,4% na art&#233;ria descendente anterior esquerda.</p>
    <p><fig id="aop912fig1"/>&#13;
</p>
    <p>
      <fig id="aop912fig1a">
        <graphic xlink:href="1678-4170-abc-99-06-1142-00113-gf01.jpg"/></fig>
    </p>
    <p>&#13;
  <fig id="aop912fig1xfig1b"/><fig id="aop912fig1b"><graphic xlink:href="1678-4170-abc-99-06-1142-00113-gf02.jpg"/></fig></p>
    <p>O seguimento m&#233;dio foi de 15 meses (varia&#231;&#227;o 3-43 meses), tendo sido realizado em 321 pacientes (90,4%). Para determinar se a perda no seguimento poderia representar uma influ&#234;ncia nos resultados, foi realizada uma an&#225;lise comparativa entre os grupos com e sem seguimento, n&#227;o demonstrando diferen&#231;a em rela&#231;&#227;o a idade, sexo, tabagismo, hipertens&#227;o arterial, hist&#243;ria familiar, dislipidemia, NYHA e presen&#231;a de aterosclerose &#224; TC. Apenas a presen&#231;a de diabetes mostrou diferen&#231;a entre os dois grupos (p = 0,03).</p>
    <p>Durante o per&#237;odo de acompanhamento, 55 eventos ocorreram, tendo sido selecionados apenas desfechos cl&#237;nicos adversos ocorridos ap&#243;s tr&#234;s meses de seguimento no m&#237;nimo. Tr&#234;s pacientes morreram de infarto agudo do mioc&#225;rdio; infarto do mioc&#225;rdio n&#227;o fatal ocorreu em cinco pacientes; angina inst&#225;vel requerendo hospitaliza&#231;&#227;o ocorreu em 15 pacientes; 32 pacientes foram submetidos a revasculariza&#231;&#227;o coronariana, com interven&#231;&#227;o coronariana percut&#226;nea realizada em 27 pacientes, enquanto os restantes cinco pacientes foram submetidos a revasculariza&#231;&#227;o cir&#250;rgica do mioc&#225;rdio. A decis&#227;o de revasculariza&#231;&#227;o foi baseada em piora da angina e/ou presen&#231;a de isquemia em testes n&#227;o invasivos. A an&#225;lise univariada das caracter&#237;sticas cl&#237;nicas e &#224; TCMD para prever desfechos cl&#237;nicos adversos est&#225; exposta na <xref ref-type="table" rid="aop912tab1">tabela 1</xref>. Foram inclu&#237;das na an&#225;lise multivariada as vari&#225;veis que foram significativas na an&#225;lise univariada. Os preditores independentes de eventos card&#237;acos obtidos na an&#225;lise multivariada est&#227;o mostrados na <xref ref-type="table" rid="aop912tab2">tabela 2</xref>. A presen&#231;a de placas coronarianas &#224; TCMD, sintomas de dispneia pela classe funcional da NYHA, tabagismo e diabete melito foram preditores independentes de desfechos cl&#237;nicos adversos. A <xref ref-type="fig" rid="aop912fig2">figura 2</xref> mostra as diferentes curvas relacionadas &#224; sobrevida livre de eventos nos pacientes com e sem placas &#224; TCMD.</p>
    <p content-type="asset">
      <table-wrap id="aop912tab2">
        <graphic xlink:href="1678-4170-abc-99-06-1142-00113-gt02.jpg"/></table-wrap>
    </p>
    <p content-type="asset">
      <fig id="aop912fig2">
        <graphic xlink:href="1678-4170-abc-99-06-1142-00113-gf03.jpg"/></fig>
    </p>
    <p>Para se determinar se a presen&#231;a de aterosclerose coronariana hemodinamicamente n&#227;o significativa (&lt;50%) pudesse estar relacionada com a ocorr&#234;ncia de eventos cardiovasculares adversos, foi realizada uma suban&#225;lise retirando do estudo pacientes com les&#245;es ateroscler&#243;ticas significativas. Nesse novo modelo, a presen&#231;a de aterosclerose demonstrada pela TCMD em pacientes com les&#245;es obstrutivas n&#227;o significativas se manteve como preditora de desfechos cl&#237;nicos adversos (<italic>hazard ratio</italic> 3,21; 95% intervalo de confian&#231;a 1,5 -7,1; p = 0,004).</p>
    <p>
      <bold>Discuss&#227;o</bold>
    </p>
    <p>O teste padr&#227;o de refer&#234;ncia para o diagn&#243;stico de DAC &#233; a Angiografia Coronariana convencional (AC). Embora a incid&#234;ncia de morbidade e mortalidade seja baixa, a AC pode causar complica&#231;&#245;es graves, com risco total de todas as principais complica&#231;&#245;es de 1,7%, com uma mortalidade de 0,11% e uma taxa de complica&#231;&#227;o vascular de 0,43%<sup>14</sup>. A tomografia computadorizada multidetectores para avalia&#231;&#227;o coronariana emergiu rapidamente como uma ferramenta de diagn&#243;stico preciso em DAC, com altos valores de sensibilidade (faixa de 94% a 99%), especificidade (varia&#231;&#227;o de 95% a 97%), valor preditivo positivo (varia&#231;&#227;o de 76% a 97%) e valor preditivo negativo (variando de 97% a 100%)<sup>2-4</sup>, e a introdu&#231;&#227;o da TCMD de 64 colunas de detectores permitiu uma melhora substancial na acur&#225;cia do m&#233;todo<sup>15-17</sup>. O alto valor preditivo negativo sugere fortemente que a TCMD poderia ser &#250;til para descartar o diagn&#243;stico de DAC.</p>
    <p>Em nosso estudo, ap&#243;s uma m&#233;dia de 15 meses de seguimento, apenas um paciente com TCMD sem evid&#234;ncias de aterosclerose coronariana apresentou desfecho cl&#237;nico adverso, determinado um valor preditivo negativo de 98,2% para predizer eventos card&#237;acos adversos. Gilard e cols.<sup>7</sup> mostraram uma baixa incid&#234;ncia de eventos card&#237;acos ap&#243;s TCMD normal em pacientes com suspeita de DAC em um estudo com 141 pacientes. Pundziute e cols.<sup>8</sup> mostraram 100% de aus&#234;ncia de eventos em pacientes sem nenhuma anormalidade na TCMD, com destaque para um excelente valor preditivo negativo da TCMD normal. Hadamitzky e cols.<sup>9</sup> demonstraram um impacto significativo na previs&#227;o de eventos card&#237;acos por um per&#237;odo m&#233;dio de 18 meses de seguimento.</p>
    <p>Chow e cols.<sup>18</sup>, em um registro multic&#234;ntrico internacional de grande porte, demonstraram que DAC significativa estimada por TCMD tinha valor incremental sobre fra&#231;&#227;o de eje&#231;&#227;o ventricular esquerda e vari&#225;veis cl&#237;nicas<sup>18</sup>. Esses resultados confirmam que a TCMD &#233; &#250;til como ferramenta diagn&#243;stica de pacientes com DAC suspeita e pode, quando o resultado &#233; normal, sugerir fortemente descartar esse diagn&#243;stico. Esse achado &#233; de relev&#226;ncia cl&#237;nica importante, porque esses pacientes podem de fato ser seguramente tranquilizados sem necessidade de testes adicionais.</p>
    <p>Outros testes n&#227;o invasivos tamb&#233;m fornecem informa&#231;&#227;o progn&#243;stica &#250;til na estratifica&#231;&#227;o de risco. A cintilografia mioc&#225;rdica mostrou uma mortalidade anual ou a taxa de infarto inferior a 1% ao ano<sup>19</sup> quando o estudo &#233; normal. A ecocardiografia de estresse apresenta um excelente valor preditivo negativo para a ocorr&#234;ncia de eventos adversos card&#237;acos<sup>20-22</sup>. Neste estudo, apoiamos a ideia de que a presen&#231;a de qualquer placa, independentemente da gravidade da estenose, &#233; capaz de predizer desfechos cl&#237;nicos adversos. A TCMD identifica diretamente placas coronarianas, enquanto as imagens convencionais da AC determinam o contorno do l&#250;men dos vasos coronarianos, n&#227;o fornecendo informa&#231;&#227;o sobre a parede do vaso e volume da placa, e pode, portanto, subestimar a les&#227;o ateroscler&#243;tica e poss&#237;veis placas vulner&#225;veis que possam levar a s&#237;ndrome coronariana aguda<sup>23</sup>. Estudos anteriores demonstraram que as les&#245;es n&#227;o obstrutivas podem contribuir para eventos coronarianos<sup>24</sup>. Em raz&#227;o de as placas menos obstrutivas serem mais frequentes do que placas obstrutivas graves, como mostrado aqui, oclus&#227;o coronariana e infarto do mioc&#225;rdio podem, de fato, estar mais frequentemente relacionados a les&#245;es n&#227;o obstrutivas<sup>25,26</sup>. No presente estudo, podemos demonstrar que a presen&#231;a de aterosclerose coronariana pela TCMD, independentemente do grau de obstru&#231;&#227;o, foi um preditor independente de futuros eventos card&#237;acos adversos.</p>
    <p>Dentre as limita&#231;&#245;es deste estudo, podemos citar a baixa taxa de eventos, bem como um amplo espectro de diferentes condi&#231;&#245;es associadas com a indica&#231;&#227;o do exame. Estudos futuros dever&#227;o abordar o papel progn&#243;stico da TCMD em popula&#231;&#245;es mais homog&#234;neas. Al&#233;m disso, a popula&#231;&#227;o do estudo foi pequena. Estudos realizados em coortes maiores (com maior tempo de seguimento) s&#227;o claramente necess&#225;rios para confirmar esses resultados. Chow e cols., em um grande registro multic&#234;ntrico internacional, demonstraram que a gravidade da CAD estimada pela TCMD tinha valor incremental sobre fra&#231;&#227;o de eje&#231;&#227;o ventricular esquerda e vari&#225;veis cl&#237;nicas<sup>18</sup>.</p>
    <p>Os resultados da TCMD apresentam o potencial de influenciar na decis&#227;o de indica&#231;&#227;o de revasculariza&#231;&#227;o, podendo alterar o desfecho neste estudo. Entretanto, consideramos como desfecho cl&#237;nico adverso apenas aqueles que ocorreram ap&#243;s tr&#234;s meses de seguimento (m&#233;dia de 15 meses, variando de 3 a 43 meses). Ap&#243;s esse per&#237;odo, a indica&#231;&#227;o de revasculariza&#231;&#227;o mioc&#225;rdica baseou-se na decis&#227;o cl&#237;nica, conforme diretrizes estabelecidas. Apesar disso, o resultado da TCMD pode ser um fator de confus&#227;o, associando-se ao desfecho de revasculariza&#231;&#227;o.</p>
    <p>
      <bold>Conclus&#227;o</bold>
    </p>
    <p>A presen&#231;a de aterosclerose demonstrada pela TCMD em pacientes com suspeita de DAC apresentou valor independente e incremental aos fatores de risco convencionais (diabetes, tabagismo e classe funcional pela NYHA) na predi&#231;&#227;o de desfechos clinicos adversos. A TCMD pode se mostrar &#250;til na estratifica&#231;&#227;o de risco desses pacientes.</p>
    <p>
      <bold>Potencial Conflito de Interesses</bold>
    </p>
    <p>Declaro n&#227;o haver conflito de interesses pertinentes.</p>
    <p>
      <bold>Fontes de Financiamento</bold>
    </p>
    <p>O presente estudo n&#227;o teve fontes de financiamento externas.</p>
    <p>
      <bold>Vincula&#231;&#227;o Acad&#234;mica</bold>
    </p>
    <p>N&#227;o h&#225; vincula&#231;&#227;o deste estudo a programas de p&#243;s-gradua&#231;&#227;o.</p>
    <p>
      <fn id="end" fn-type="corresp">
        <p>Correspond&#234;ncia:</p>
        <p> M&#225;rcio Vin&#237;cius Lins Barros &#149; </p>
        <p>Rua Carangola, 57, Apto 1.201, Santo Antonio. </p>
        <p> CEP 30330-240, Belo Horizonte, MG - Brasil </p>
        <p> E-mail: </p>
        <p>
          <email xlink:href="marciovlbarros@uol.com.br">marciovlbarros@uol.com.br</email>
        </p>
      </fn>
    </p>
    <p>Artigo recebido em 04/12/11; revisado em 06/12/11; aceito em 06/06/12.</p>
  </body>
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  <sub-article article-type="translation" id="TRen" xml:lang="en">
    <front-stub>
      <article-categories>
        <subj-group subj-group-type="heading">
          <subject>Original Articles</subject>
        </subj-group>
      </article-categories>
      <title-group>
        <article-title xml:lang="en">Coronary tomography for predicting adverse events in patients with suspected coronary disease</article-title>
      </title-group>
      <abstract xml:lang="en">
        <p>BACKGROUND: Although studies have demonstrated a high diagnostic accuracy of multi-detector Coronary CT (MDCT) in the detection of Coronary Artery Disease (CAD), data on the prognostic value of this method are limited. OBJECTIVE: Determine the value of MDCT in predicting adverse clinical outcomes in patients with suspected CAD. METHODS: We prospectively evaluated 355 consecutive patients (mean age 58 &#177; 12 years, 252 males) with suspected CAD between January 2008 and June 2010. CAD at MDCT was defined as the presence of atheromatous plaque observed in any coronary artery. The adverse clinical outcomes were defined as death, myocardial infarction, unstable angina or myocardial revascularization. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up of 15 months, there were 55 cardiac events. In the multivariate analysis using the Cox regression model, NYHA functional class, diabetes, smoking and atherosclerosis at the MDCT were predictors of adverse clinical outcome, and the presence of plaque at the MDCT was strongly associated with adverse clinical outcomes, regardless of established risk factors for CAD (hazard ratio 5.29; 95% confidence interval: 2.4 -11.8, p &lt;0.001). CONCLUSION: The presence of atherosclerosis demonstrated by MDCT in patients with suspected CAD showed independent and incremental value when compared to conventional risk factors in the prediction of adverse clinical outcomes, and may prove useful in risk stratification of these patients.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group xml:lang="en">
        <kwd>Coronary Disease</kwd>
        <kwd>Computed Tomography</kwd>
        <kwd>Prognosis</kwd>
        <kwd>Plaque, Atherosclerotic</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
    </front-stub>
    <body>
      <p>
        <fn id="top-body2">
          <label>
            <bold>Coronary tomography for predicting adverse events in patients with suspected coronary disease</bold>
          </label>
          <p>
            <bold>M&#225;rcio Vinicius Lins Barros<sup>I, II</sup>; Daniel Rocha Rabelo<sup>I</sup>; Maria do Carmo Pereira Nunes<sup>I, III</sup>; Maria Helena Albernaz Siqueira<sup>I</sup></bold>
          </p>
        </fn>
      </p>
      <p><sup>I</sup>Hospital Mater Dei</p>
      <p><sup>II</sup>Faculdade de Sa&#250;de e Ecologia Humana (FASEH), Vespasiano, MG - Brazil</p>
      <p><sup>III</sup>Faculdade de Medicina , Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, MG - Brazil</p>
      <p>Mailing Address</p>
      <p>
        <bold>ABSTRACT</bold>
      </p>
      <p><bold>BACKGROUND: </bold>Although studies have demonstrated a high diagnostic accuracy of multi-detector Coronary CT (MDCT) in the detection of Coronary Artery Disease (CAD), data on the prognostic value of this method are limited.</p>
      <p><bold>OBJECTIVE:</bold> Determine the value of MDCT in predicting adverse clinical outcomes in patients with suspected CAD.</p>
      <p><bold>METHODS:</bold> We prospectively evaluated 355 consecutive patients (mean age 58 &#177; 12 years, 252 males) with suspected CAD between January 2008 and June 2010. CAD at MDCT was defined as the presence of atheromatous plaque observed in any coronary artery. The adverse clinical outcomes were defined as death, myocardial infarction, unstable angina or myocardial revascularization.</p>
      <p><bold>RESULTS: </bold>During a mean follow-up of 15 months, there were 55 cardiac events. In the multivariate analysis using the Cox regression model, NYHA functional class, diabetes, smoking and atherosclerosis at the MDCT were predictors of adverse clinical outcome, and the presence of plaque at the MDCT was strongly associated with adverse clinical outcomes, regardless of established risk factors for CAD (hazard ratio 5.29; 95% confidence interval: 2.4 -11.8, p &lt;0.001).</p>
      <p><bold>CONCLUSION: </bold>The presence of atherosclerosis demonstrated by MDCT in patients with suspected CAD showed independent and incremental value when compared to conventional risk factors in the prediction of adverse clinical outcomes, and may prove useful in risk stratification of these patients. (Arq Bras Cardiol. 2012; [online].ahead print, PP.0-0)</p>
      <p><bold>Keywords: </bold>Coronary Disease; Computed Tomography; Prognosis.</p>
      <p>
        <bold>Introduction</bold>
      </p>
      <p>Coronary Artery Disease (CAD) is an important cause of mortality and morbidity worldwide, with significant socioeconomic impact <sup>1</sup>. Multidetector coronary computed tomography (MDCT) is an important method in the evaluation of coronary arteries with high accuracy in the diagnosis of CAD <sup>2-5</sup>. However, although previous studies have demonstrated its role in adverse event prediction <sup>6-12</sup>, its validation has not been fully determined. The aim of this study was to evaluate the value of MDCT in predicting adverse clinical outcomes in patients with suspected CAD.</p>
      <p>
        <bold>Methods</bold>
      </p>
      <p>From January 2008 to December 2010, consecutive patients with suspected CAD who underwent MDCT were enrolled in a cohort with prospective data collection. The patients were referred due to different indications, including symptom assessment, signs of heart disease (abnormal resting ECG or positive stress test), or of asymptomatic patients with two or more risk factors for CAD. Exclusion criteria were known CAD, acute coronary syndrome, cardiac arrhythmia, allergy to iodinated contrast media and kidney failure. Free and informed consent was obtained from all patients. On admission, a collection of standardized data on the presence of cardiac risk factors was completed by each individual. Systemic arterial hypertension was defined as a documented history of high blood pressure or treatment with antihypertensive medications. The presence of diabetes mellitus was defined by previous diagnosis of diabetes and / or use of insulin or oral hypoglycemic agents. Dyslipidemia was defined as a history of dyslipidemia or current treatment with lipid-lowering drugs. We considered smoking as the current habit of smoking or smoking cessation within three months of the examination.</p>
      <p>The New York Heart Association (NYHA) classification was used to define functional class, and family history of coronary artery disease was defined as the presence of CAD in first-degree relatives younger than 55 (men) or 65 (women) years.</p>
      <p>A 64-channel CT scanner (Aquilion, Toshiba Medical Company, Japan) was used and images of the entire heart were acquired in apnea of 6-8 s, with intravenous infusion of 85-90 mL of iodinated contrast (Iopamiron 350) at flow rate infusion of 5 mL/s. Contrast ROI automatic detection was positioned in the descending aorta (150 HU), starting image acquisition. Patients with HR &gt; 70 bpm and with no contraindications received 15 mg of intravenous metoprolol. Images were reconstructed with slices of 0.3 mm thickness at 0.4-mm intervals, with retrospective gating. All data were analyzed by physicians experienced in the method, using multiplanar reformatting and 3-D reconstruction using volume rendering technique.</p>
      <p>The coronary arteries were divided into 17 segments <sup>13</sup>. Segments were evaluated for the presence of any atherosclerotic plaque, defined as structures <underline>&gt;</underline> 1 mm <sup>2</sup> within and / or adjacent to the coronary artery lumen. Thereafter, it was determined whether the lesion was obstructive or not, using a threshold of 50% of luminal narrowing. The percentage of coronary artery luminal obstruction was based on a comparison of luminal obstruction in relation to lumen diameter immediately proximal to the plate. Patients without coronary artery calcium or coronary plaques at the MDCT were considered normal, and abnormal MDCT results were defined as the presence of any coronary plaque.</p>
      <p>Patient adverse clinical outcomes were obtained through telephone interviews and were classified as the occurrence of: 1) cardiac death, 2) myocardial infarction, 3) unstable angina associated with hospitalization, or 4) revascularization.</p>
      <p>
        <bold>Statistical Analysis </bold>
      </p>
      <p>The demographic and clinical characteristics of the study population were expressed as numbers and percentages for categorical variables and as mean and standard deviation for continuous variables, compared with the chi-square test for categorical variables and Student's <italic>t</italic> test for continuous variables. To satisfy the assumption that the events are independent, the recurrence of cardiac events in one participant was not included in the analysis.</p>
      <p>Cox regression model was used to assess the value of clinical variables and the presence of plaque on MDCT in predicting cardiac events. Initially, the univariate analysis of clinical characteristics and variables by MDCT was performed to identify potential predictors. Hazard ratios were calculated with a 95% confidence interval as an estimate of risk associated with a particular variable. Subsequently, the multivariate analysis was performed including all variables selected in the univariate analysis. The incremental value of each variable in the model was tested using the likelihood ratio, yielding the chi-square and comparing it to the previous model. Statistical analyzes were performed using the SPSS software (version 18.0, SPSS Inc., Chicago, Illinois) and p &lt;0.05 was considered statistically significant.</p>
      <p>
        <bold>Results</bold>
      </p>
      <p>During the study period, 405 patients were initially selected; 21 were excluded for indication of post-CABG surgery and 29 for post-angioplasty evaluation. In total, 355 consecutive patients were included in the study, 71.8% men, with a mean age of 58.4 &#177; 12.4 years. The general characteristics of the patients are summarized in <xref ref-type="table" rid="en_aop912tab1-body2">Table 1</xref>. The indications for MDCT assessment were as follows: evaluation of chest pain in 131 patients (32.4%), positive stress test (133 patients [33%]); asymptomatic patients with two or more risk factors (110 patients [27.2%]), and other causes in 30 patients (7.4%).</p>
      <p content-type="asset">
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      </p>
      <p>The presence of coronary plaques (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="en_aop912fig1-body2">Figure 1a</xref>) was observed in 55.8% of patients with 28.5% in the right coronary artery, 23.7% in the circumflex artery and 40.6% in the left anterior descending artery. Coronary arteries with lesions &gt; 50% (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="en_aop912fig1-body2">Figure 1b</xref>) were found in 7.7% in the right coronary artery, 5.4% in the circumflex artery and 9.4% in the left anterior descending artery.</p>
      <p content-type="html"><fig id="en_aop912fig1-body2"><graphic xlink:href="https://minio.scielo.br/documentstore/1678-4170/DyQ3xNnHTCH4B5kK4mQ64hD/df465a406fa3cde160be8aa5f93bee18285ffdaf.jpg"/><graphic xlink:href="1678-4170-abc-99-06-1142-00113-gf01-en.jpg"/></fig>&#13;
</p>
      <p>Mean follow-up was 15 months (range 3-43 months), carried out in 321 patients (90.4%). To determine whether loss at follow-up would influence the results, we performed a comparative analysis between the groups with and without follow-up, demonstrating no difference regarding age, sex, smoking status, hypertension, family history, dyslipidemia, NYHA FC and presence of atherosclerosis at CT. Only the presence of diabetes showed differences between the two groups (p = 0.03).</p>
      <p>A total of 55 events occurred during the follow-up and only those with adverse clinical outcomes occurring at least three months after follow-up were selected. Three patients died of acute myocardial infarction, non-fatal myocardial infarction occurred in five patients; unstable angina requiring hospitalization occurred in 15 patients; 32 patients underwent coronary revascularization, with percutaneous coronary intervention being performed in 27 patients, while the remaining five patients underwent CABG. The decision for revascularization was based on worsening of angina and/or ischemia at noninvasive testing. Univariate analysis of clinical characteristics and at MDCT to predict adverse clinical outcomes is shown in <xref ref-type="table" rid="en_aop912tab1-body2">Table 1</xref>. Variables that were significant in the univariate analysis were included in the multivariate analysis. Independent predictors of cardiac events obtained in the multivariate analysis are shown in <xref ref-type="table" rid="en_aop912tab2-body2">Table 2</xref>.</p>
      <p content-type="asset">
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      </p>
      <p>Presence of coronary plaques on MDCT, symptoms of dyspnea by NYHA functional class, smoking and diabetes mellitus were independent predictors of adverse clinical outcomes. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="en_aop912fig2-body2">Figure 2</xref> shows the different curves related to event-free survival of patients with and without plaques at MDCT.</p>
      <p content-type="asset">
        <fig id="en_aop912fig2-body2">
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      </p>
      <p>To determine whether the presence of hemodynamically non-significant coronary atherosclerosis (&lt;50%) could be associated with the occurrence of adverse cardiovascular events we conducted a sub-analysis by withdrawing from the study the patients with significant atherosclerotic lesions. In this new model, the presence of atherosclerosis demonstrated by MDCT in patients with non-significant obstructive lesions remained significant as a predictor of adverse clinical outcomes (hazard ratio 3.21, 95% CI: 1.5 -7.1, p = 0.004).</p>
      <p>
        <bold>Discussion</bold>
      </p>
      <p>The reference standard test for the diagnosis of CAD is the conventional coronary angiography (CA). Although the incidence of morbidity and mortality is low, the CA can cause severe complications, with total risk of all major complications of 1.7%, mortality of 0.11% and a vascular complication rate of 0.43% <sup>14</sup>. Multidetector computed tomography for coronary assessment rapidly emerged as an accurate diagnostic tool for CAD, with high sensitivity (ranging from 94% to 99%), specificity (range 95% to 97%), positive predictive value (range 76% to 97%) and negative predictive value (ranging from 97% to 100%) <sup>2-4</sup>, and the introduction of the 64- detector MDCT allowed a substantial improvement in method accuracy <sup>15-17</sup>. The high negative predictive value strongly suggests that MDCT could be useful to exclude CAD diagnosis.</p>
      <p>In our study, after an average follow-up of 15 months, only one patient with no evidence of coronary atherosclerosis at MDCT showed adverse clinical outcome, demonstrating a negative predictive value of 98.2% for predicting adverse cardiac events. Gilard et al. <sup>7</sup> showed a low incidence of cardiac events after normal MDCT in patients with suspected CAD in a study of 141 patients. Pundziute et al. <sup>8</sup> showed 100% absence of events in patients with no abnormalities at MDCT, highlighting an excellent negative predictive value of a normal MDCT. Hadamitzky et al. <sup>9</sup> demonstrated a significant impact in the prediction of cardiac events for a mean period of 18 months of follow-up.</p>
      <p>Chow et al. <sup>18</sup>, in a large international multicenter registry, showed that significant CAD estimated by MDCT had incremental value over left ventricular ejection fraction and clinical variables <sup>18</sup>. These results confirm that MDCT is useful as a diagnostic tool in patients with suspected CAD and may, when the result is normal, strongly suggest ruling out the diagnosis. This finding is of major clinical relevance, as these patients may indeed be safely reassured without additional testing.</p>
      <p>Other noninvasive tests also provide useful prognostic information for risk stratification. Myocardial scintigraphy showed an annual mortality or infarction rate below 1% a year <sup>19</sup> when the study is normal. Stress echocardiography has an excellent negative predictive value for the occurrence of adverse cardiac events <sup>20-22</sup>. In this study, we support the idea that the presence of any plaque, regardless of the stenosis severity, can predict adverse clinical outcomes. The MDCT directly identifies coronary plaques, while conventional CA images determine the contour of the coronary vessel lumen, providing no information on the vessel wall and plaque volume and can therefore, underestimate the atherosclerotic lesion and possible vulnerable plaques that may lead to acute coronary syndrome <sup>23</sup>.</p>
      <p>Previous studies have shown that non-obstructive lesions can contribute to coronary events <sup>24</sup>. Because less obstructive plaques are more frequent than severely obstructive ones, as shown here, coronary occlusion and myocardial infarction may in fact be more often related to non-obstructive lesions<sup>25,26</sup>. In this study, we demonstrate that the presence of coronary atherosclerosis at MDCT, regardless of the obstruction degree, was an independent predictor of future adverse cardiac events.</p>
      <p>Among the limitations of this study, we mention the low rate of events, as well as a wide spectrum of different conditions associated with the examination indication. Future studies should address the prognostic role of MDCT in more homogeneous populations. Additionally, the study sample was small. Studies in larger cohorts (with longer follow-up) are clearly needed to confirm these results. Chow et al., in a large multicenter international registry, showed that the severity of CAD estimated by MDCT had incremental value over left ventricular ejection fraction and clinical variables <sup>18</sup>.</p>
      <p>MDCT results have the potential to influence the decision of revascularization indication and can change the outcome in this study. However, we considered as adverse clinical outcome only those that occurred after three months of follow-up (mean 15 months, range 3-43 months). After this period, the indication for CABG was based on clinical decision, according to established guidelines. Nevertheless, the results of MDCT may be a confounding factor, being associated with the revascularization outcome.</p>
      <p>
        <bold>Conclusion</bold>
      </p>
      <p>The presence of atherosclerosis demonstrated by MDCT in patients with suspected CAD showed independent and incremental value to conventional risk factors (diabetes, smoking and NYHA functional class) in predicting adverse clinical outcomes. MDCT may prove useful in the risk stratification of these patients.</p>
      <p>
        <bold>Potential Conflict of Interest</bold>
      </p>
      <p>No potential conflict of interest relevant to this article was reported.</p>
      <p>
        <bold>Sources of Funding</bold>
      </p>
      <p>There were no external funding sources for this study.</p>
      <p>
        <bold>Study Association</bold>
      </p>
      <p>This study is not associated with any post-graduation program.</p>
      <p>
        <bold>References</bold>
      </p>
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